ILO Working Paper 140 (2025): Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure
Task-level occupational exposure framework for generative AI, built from expert input and model predictions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Robotic bricklaying works on ideal flat surfaces with standardised bricks. Real construction sites and heritage work are far beyond current robotic capability. Strong demand growth.
The SAM100 robotic bricklaying system has been commercially deployed and can lay standardised bricks at 3x human speed on flat, prepared surfaces with consistent mortar. This represents the furthest advance of construction robotics into bricklaying.
But SAM100 works only in narrow conditions: flat surfaces, standardised brick sizes, consistent mortar consistency, and no need to adapt to daily site conditions. It cannot work on heritage buildings where original bonding patterns must be matched, cannot work on complex architectural features, and cannot adapt to the infinite variability of real construction sites.
Stonemason work — working with natural stone, matching cut and profile, restoring historic buildings — is entirely beyond robotic capability. This is a craft with 5,000 years of history that requires human skill, aesthetic judgment, and tactile intelligence.
Housing construction and heritage restoration are both driving strong demand.
These are the genuine threats to this profession. They are real, but they are not sufficient to overturn the fundamental analysis. Here is why.
Put the case that Stonemason / Bricklayer will not survive AI displacement. The system responds with counterarguments from the research base. Strong arguments shift the score — up to a maximum of ±15 points. The system is not an AI. It is a structured argument engine.
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Keep the framework, but add at least one sector-specific source and remove any remaining implied precision.
TIER 3 review queue with 7 core sources and 3 framework signals.
This page is grounded in task exposure research and labour-market trend reports, then translated into a reasoned occupation-level argument.
This site now treats exact timelines, total job-loss counts, and regional speed as interpretive estimates unless a cited source states them directly. The argument on this page should be read as a structured forecast, not a guaranteed future.
These impact figures are site estimates for comparison and should not be read as official labour-market counts.
Task-level occupational exposure framework for generative AI, built from expert input and model predictions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Finds clerical work is the most highly exposed occupational group and that augmentation is often more likely than full occupation automation.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Shows AI exposure is highest in many white-collar cognitive occupations, while manual occupations tend to have lower exposure.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Advanced economies are more exposed to AI because they have more cognitive-intensive jobs; infrastructure and skills limit adoption elsewhere.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Large-employer survey showing clerical roles among the fastest-declining and care, education, software and green-transition jobs among growth areas.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Notes substantial automation risk remains, while observed labour-market effects remain mixed rather than universally destructive.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Argues advanced economies are better positioned to benefit from AI due to infrastructure, skills, and institutions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗