ILO Working Paper 140 (2025): Generative AI and Jobs: A Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure
Task-level occupational exposure framework for generative AI, built from expert input and model predictions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗PE analytical work is being automated. Deal sourcing, due diligence, and portfolio company value creation still require experienced human professionals.
Private equity analysts build financial models, conduct due diligence, prepare investment committee memoranda, and monitor portfolio companies. The analytical components of this work — financial modelling, comparable company analysis, market sizing, due diligence document review — are all automatable by AI.
AI due diligence tools now process thousands of contracts, identify key terms, and flag risks in hours rather than weeks. AI financial modelling generates LBO (leveraged buyout) models from company data. AI deal sourcing identifies acquisition targets from databases of millions of private companies.
But private equity is fundamentally a relationship business: deal access comes from proprietary networks, not databases. Value creation in portfolio companies requires operational expertise and management relationships. The investment committee decision — whether to commit hundreds of millions to a specific company at a specific valuation — requires human judgment about management quality, strategic positioning, and macroeconomic context.
Junior analysts whose careers consisted of building Excel models and preparing decks are being displaced. Senior professionals with deal judgment and relationships are not.
These are the strongest arguments for why this job might survive. We take them seriously. Below each is the counterargument that explains why they are insufficient.
Put the case that Private Equity Analyst will survive AI displacement. The system responds with counterarguments from the research base. Strong arguments shift the score — up to a maximum of ±15 points. The system is not an AI. It is a structured argument engine.
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Keep the framework, but add at least one sector-specific source and remove any remaining implied precision.
TIER 2 review queue with 6 core sources and 5 framework signals.
This page is grounded in task exposure research and labour-market trend reports, then translated into a reasoned occupation-level argument.
This site now treats exact timelines, total job-loss counts, and regional speed as interpretive estimates unless a cited source states them directly. The argument on this page should be read as a structured forecast, not a guaranteed future.
These impact figures are site estimates for comparison and should not be read as official labour-market counts.
Task-level occupational exposure framework for generative AI, built from expert input and model predictions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Finds clerical work is the most highly exposed occupational group and that augmentation is often more likely than full occupation automation.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Shows AI exposure is highest in many white-collar cognitive occupations, while manual occupations tend to have lower exposure.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Advanced economies are more exposed to AI because they have more cognitive-intensive jobs; infrastructure and skills limit adoption elsewhere.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Large-employer survey showing clerical roles among the fastest-declining and care, education, software and green-transition jobs among growth areas.
OPEN SOURCE ↗Argues advanced economies are better positioned to benefit from AI due to infrastructure, skills, and institutions.
OPEN SOURCE ↗